<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" ?>
  <resource>
  <id>6450</id>
  <path>/www/nrich/html/content/id/6450/</path>
  <resourceTypeID>1</resourceTypeID>
  <last_published>2011-12-09T11:41:55</last_published>
  <indexXML>&lt;?xml version=&quot;1.0&quot; encoding=&quot;UTF-8&quot;?&gt;
&lt;mdoxml version=&quot;1.0&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;When cracking text-based codes, a first step is often to look for repeated strings of characters resulting from structure in the underlying cypher-text. This can give a way in to cracking the code.&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Alison and Steve are considering the following coded message:&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
 &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;table border=&quot;0&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; width=&quot;64&quot;&gt;
&lt;colgroup&gt;&lt;/colgroup&gt;
&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr height=&quot;20&quot;&gt;
&lt;td height=&quot;20&quot; style=&quot;height:15.0pt;width:48pt&quot; width=&quot;64&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;toggle&quot;&gt;vrucseviffsrzpvekpqmyfvfvarvfhfzecsxzvvorjbtlrkaqmcvbgyfsct&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
nuznglyrkqsqewtauvzpievmblcciabcfvofpymgrfnpkjuszcjrjuaur&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
idgznelhpycaoljzbjkrcqioguwavhlvflejbcuqkpkzsvmnpaxivovjjt&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
lrqmyovtpjhfkzccrctgksiwoauvzgnvfvuabnitkfnpkjuziohqmipjv&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
eoipivaolnwwtlgravlbwbjvfvqefpcqolfzvuwviqvlqsgvovjekuqfnr&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
ybdqulzplcfqimctfsmevzvuqyrwmtcrebcuqmqxpqzbtfvedcpak&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
wdlcvzubnumfaurbvorgwnlvjbjlfvivvswzqzgrvfkrjwnhgzwppgv&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
dgycimulakakafvthabdgktnxqphgzwphfkpgyrxqqubwjghhkgcu&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
qumnptybvorimohexitlgkpgzhequmbimxlemqupocmkafszqhqu&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
qurwlavzxzzvpaxbjlufzkgbeipkqznhbfzvihcvzrlglinzccmpkblzv&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
orimhvenqvolfctsrrdgtljquariqypycxwaffugaelavpagzgjruqpna&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
rdknnkwtzgymtlfewyhauntvfkitlorvkzuvlcuqjiksveoqcriiehyda&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
ghjvucfovecmgvlvvncipkflzrhfjqpnveequqvzuhauqpirrcvfrmm&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
tfevokvayqvoribqkvjkqcrimfvakpgonsqvhocmisbsmkafgzqkhtb&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
kvajipksvivbevaohlsmypgywwaroiowyviuauvxjlafugunfnvorym&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
ccretaibuqgzhelqbokmfslrzgpakpqzrlvfpftwxlevluvyzbwkrjejhg&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
diaubkjglkgmearuqphpfcpaepwhlgvzphycqiogrqohlkpgyruqujb&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
mmtauvequqiwwzcfegyjyqeonkbthpkavoremgkyvipkzrgtltltcar&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
rbjvhjipkpvtgzgzinvojmtcnkqqufkpcaevywpevwpslkpkzifgcnrk&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
wtlaumtauvqtzrvukutvkelakzkjvkqgzpfvupfkmpasfzgcriquonct&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
uhgzivlzpitkrebebezwupgpekaukpgzvxpvvsrxcygfnvornwtsqem&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
xlesmhvevdkzvkmfhauucfgimckncipkavdgyovnqyrzuryvebgkop&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
bjlsfwvvsdipauvaghevualakqelzvvvznelvorpitlflnhppzmpagfkq&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
udlmthycnghefnfhaxmtveumcaurvfabzvfbpvugabtwotrekgauz&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
anhofzkvhjdqfnxmypgybjlwfgcjuztfmrvtuduvvjlrdjcyxjqphyzb&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
vsrswcajzbjovjpqsvuiatnkmuvarvgecvlkavfvqmqzaevivzabcyqu&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
unkqxlezdgyolbubcgwupaxinsgymulpfvllpkctlfkwdlsrtullfceha&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
ewvjbebgzgkpgpavavpzrjnlovvgmvkejppyquonctevawmtvartn&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
tneskuqkwvorciuatvvgynkqquoplkzpfdgyveocwnjacnremcygy&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
mrvyvbqaufagjblvvyvvavvevieojyqeonkxtlfvvvzbdipfzfvvofrzg&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
yrhckzvkmqyopiujribcpazviauvagjevbqmgymohtemvduzkjpsr&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
bcsygwuzvstgjnewpslsmgmsvkvlqsgcuhelgygrskutjceonjukur&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Alison computes the frequency of each letter, finding these results:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;toggle&quot;&gt;
&lt;table border=&quot;0&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; width=&quot;676&quot;&gt;
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&lt;col span=&quot;26&quot;&gt;&lt;/col&gt;&lt;/colgroup&gt;
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&lt;tr height=&quot;20&quot;&gt;
&lt;td height=&quot;20&quot; style=&quot;height:20px;width:27px;&quot;&gt;a&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;b&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;c&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;d&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;e&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;f&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;g&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;h&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;i&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;j&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;k&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;l&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;m&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;n&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;o&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;p&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;q&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;r&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;s&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;t&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;u&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;v&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;w&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;x&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;y&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td style=&quot;width:27px;&quot;&gt;z&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr height=&quot;20&quot;&gt;
&lt;td height=&quot;20&quot; style=&quot;height:20px;&quot;&gt;85&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;55&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;72&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;22&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;73&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;77&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;85&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;48&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;61&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;58&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;90&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;77&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;61&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;55&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;55&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;87&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;80&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;78&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;41&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;58&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;94&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;166&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;44&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;21&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;53&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;80&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;After some fiddling around on a spreadsheet, Steve notices that there are seven repeated strings of 5 letters, highlighted as shown below:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;toggle&quot;&gt;&lt;mdo:image src=&quot;code%20frag%201.png&quot;&gt;&lt;/mdo:image&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Steve dismisses this as coincidence, saying &amp;quot;I would guess that these repeated 5-letter sequences  are consistent with randomly generated text based on these frequencies of letters&amp;quot;. Alison is not convinced and thinks that this structure of 5 letter sequences would not likely occur randomly for these frequencies of letters.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Investigate.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;Challenge: Crack the code, regardless of who is right!&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;/mdoxml&gt;</indexXML>
  <solutionXML>&lt;?xml version=&quot;1.0&quot; encoding=&quot;UTF-8&quot;?&gt;
&lt;mdoxml version=&quot;1.0&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;In fact, such a set of sequences occurring by chance is &lt;em&gt;exceedingly&lt;/em&gt; unlikely (as determined experimentally) and thus points to structure in the code.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The text is the opening paragraph of Frankenstein, in which cqiog, hgzwp, jyqeo correspond to the strings &quot;light&quot;, &quot;ation&quot;, &quot;which&quot; etc.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;You can see the encrypted text below:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;toggle&quot;&gt;I am already far north of London, and as I walk in the streets of Petersburgh, I feel a cold northern breeze play upon my cheeks, which braces my nerves and fills me with delight. Do you understand this feeling? This breeze, which has travelled from the regions towards which I am advancing, gives me a foretaste of those icy climes. Inspirited by this wind of promise, my
daydreams become more fervent and vivid. I try in vain to be persuaded that the pole is the seat of frost and desolation; it ever presents itself to my imagination as the region of beauty and delight. There, Margaret, the sun is forever visible, its broad disk just skirting the horizon and diffusing a perpetual splendour. There?for with your leave, my sister, I will put some trust in preceding
navigators?there snow and frost are banished; and, sailing over a calm sea, we may be wafted to a land surpassing in wonders and in beauty every region hitherto discovered on the habitable globe. Its productions and features may be without example, as the phenomena of the heavenly bodies undoubtedly are in those undiscovered solitudes. What may not be expected in a country of eternal light? I may
there discover the wondrous power which attracts the needle and may regulate a thousand celestial observations that require only this voyage to render their seeming eccentricities consistent forever. I shall satiate my ardent curiosity with the sight of a part of the world never before visited, and may tread a land never before imprinted by the foot of man. These are my enticements, and they are
sufficient to conquer all fear of danger or death and to induce me to commence this laborious voyage with the joy a child feels when he embarks in a little boat, with his holiday mates, on an expedition of discovery up his native river. But supposing all these conjectures to be false, you cannot contest the inestimable benefit which I shall confer on all mankind, to the last generation, by
discovering a passage near the pole to those countries, to reach which at present so many months are requisite; or by ascertaining the secret of the magnet, which, if at all possible, can only be effected by an undertaking such as mine.&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;editorial&quot;&gt;We had three very nice solutions to this problem from Kirsten (Hornsey School for girls, England), Mookie Chau Lok Hang (Li Po Chun United World College of Hong Kong) and Maria (UK).&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;editorial&quot;&gt;Mookie Chau even sent in a newly created code! We will include this on the site soon.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;editorial&quot;&gt;Kirsten said&lt;/span&gt;:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Reading through the problem, my initial thought was that Alice was right.&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
That many strings of 5(and more)or statistically quite unlikely and, in any&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
case, the letters are very unlikely to be &quot;randomly generated&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
text&quot;. I did some more investigations to check- I found the&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
differences between the ends of the identical strings of letters.&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
             &lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
             My Results are&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;table style=&quot;width: 500px;border-spacing:1px;&quot; border=&quot;1&quot;&gt;
&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Green&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;35&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Red&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;115&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Yellow&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;795&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Dark green&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;480&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Grey&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;670&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Pink&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;550&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Turquoise&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;490&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
 &lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
The noticable thing about these results is that they are all divisible by&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
5.&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
This adds strength to Alice&amp;#39;s argument, making it less likely to be&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
coincidental.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;I decided to try putting the letters into columns of 5. Though the&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
frequency analysis shows that it is not a letter for letter code, it could&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
be a polyalphabetic code (where more than one ciphers are used in&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
alternation).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;I found the frequencies for the first column, made them into a graph and&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
matched it with the English frequencies. It was quite clear from the&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
patterns that it was a caesar shift, with plaintext a matching with cipher&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
text n. Feeling encouraged, I substituted that column and found the&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
frequencies for the others. After quite a long time trying to get my&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
computer to do what I wanted it to, I arrived at an answer which (mostly)&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
made sense. Filling in the word gaps gave the solution.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;editorial&quot;&gt;Kirsten continued to work out some probabilities&lt;/span&gt;:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;I worked out the probability that ONE set of five&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
letters are the same for randomly generated letters of about 1600 letters:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Possible combinations: 26*26*26*26*26=11881376&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
                       Every digit could be one of 26 letters&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
I then used a spreadsheet to do the calculation&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
(11881376/11881376)*(11881375&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
/11881376) *(11881374/11881376)...to (11879781/11881376)&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
        I did this to find out the probability that all the combinations&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
are different. The first has 11881376/11881376 that it will be different.&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
The second has 11881375/11881376&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
- everything except the first combination&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This equals to 0.898407725, leaving a 0.101592275 chance that one&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
combination is the same. And thats just the chance that ONE pair is the&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
same.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;editorial&quot;&gt;Mookie Chau sent in these fascinating thoughts&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Firstly, at first glance, it seems that the frequency looks random which is not encrypted by monoalphabetic substation cipher method. In order to prove my hypothesis, Index of Coincident (IC) is calculated which is 0.044. Since the value is closer to the IC of Polyalphabetic substitution cipher method (0.038), it suggests that the plaintext is probably encrypted by Vigenere (one kind of
periodic substation cipher). The IC value is calculated by a program online which you can find it from http://www.caconsultant.com/maths/ under frequency analysis.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Before identifying the keyword used to encrypt the text, the length of the keyword should be found. It can be done by look for the sequences of letters that appear more than once in the ciphertext. The most likely is that the same sequence of letters in the plaintext has been enciphered using the same part of the key. Below is the list of sequences which appear more than once and their spacing
between 2 of them is identified.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;mdo:image src=&quot;Code1.png&quot;&gt;&lt;/mdo:image&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;By finding their common factor which is 5, this probably suggests that the key only contains 5 letters.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;We proceed as follows. We know that one of the rows of the Vigenere square, defined by L1, provided the cipher alphabet to encrypt the 1st, 6th, 11th, 16th, … letters of the message. Hence we should be able to use old fashioned frequency analysis to work out the cipher alphabet in question. Below is the frequency analysis of different columns (i.e. different letters):&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;mdo:image src=&quot;Code2.png&quot;&gt;&lt;/mdo:image&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;mdo:image src=&quot;Code3.png&quot;&gt;&lt;/mdo:image&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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  &amp;amp;lt;/m:mathPr&amp;amp;gt;&amp;amp;lt;/w:WordDocument&amp;amp;gt;
&amp;amp;lt;![endif]--&amp;amp;gt;&amp;amp;lt;!--[if gte mso 9]&amp;amp;gt;&amp;amp;lt;xml&amp;amp;gt;
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  LatentStyleCount=&quot;267&quot;&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;0&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
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  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;11&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
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  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;66&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
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   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Light List Accent 1&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;62&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Light Grid Accent 1&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;63&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Shading 1 Accent 1&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
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   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium List 1 Accent 1&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Revision&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
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  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;67&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Grid 1 Accent 1&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;68&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Grid 2 Accent 1&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
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   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Grid 3 Accent 1&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
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  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;71&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Colorful Shading Accent 1&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;72&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Colorful List Accent 1&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;73&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Colorful Grid Accent 1&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;60&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Light Shading Accent 2&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;61&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
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   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Light Grid Accent 2&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
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   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Shading 1 Accent 2&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
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  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;65&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium List 1 Accent 2&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
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   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium List 2 Accent 2&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;67&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Grid 1 Accent 2&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;68&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Grid 2 Accent 2&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
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   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Grid 3 Accent 2&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;70&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
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  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;71&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Colorful Shading Accent 2&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
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   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Colorful List Accent 2&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;73&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Colorful Grid Accent 2&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;60&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Light Shading Accent 3&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;61&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Light List Accent 3&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;62&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Light Grid Accent 3&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;63&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Shading 1 Accent 3&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;64&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Shading 2 Accent 3&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;65&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium List 1 Accent 3&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;66&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
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   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Grid 1 Accent 3&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;68&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Grid 2 Accent 3&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;69&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Grid 3 Accent 3&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;70&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Dark List Accent 3&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;71&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Colorful Shading Accent 3&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
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   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Colorful List Accent 3&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;73&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Colorful Grid Accent 3&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;60&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Light Shading Accent 4&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;61&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Light List Accent 4&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;62&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Light Grid Accent 4&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;63&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Shading 1 Accent 4&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;64&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Shading 2 Accent 4&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;65&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium List 1 Accent 4&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;66&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium List 2 Accent 4&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;67&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Grid 1 Accent 4&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;68&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Grid 2 Accent 4&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;69&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Grid 3 Accent 4&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;70&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Dark List Accent 4&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;71&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Colorful Shading Accent 4&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;72&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Colorful List Accent 4&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;73&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Colorful Grid Accent 4&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;60&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Light Shading Accent 5&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;61&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Light List Accent 5&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;62&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Light Grid Accent 5&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;63&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Shading 1 Accent 5&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
  &amp;amp;lt;w:LsdException Locked=&quot;false&quot; Priority=&quot;64&quot; SemiHidden=&quot;false&quot;
   UnhideWhenUsed=&quot;false&quot; Name=&quot;Medium Shading 2 Accent 5&quot;/&amp;amp;gt;
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&amp;amp;lt;![endif]        &lt;/comment&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;By using simple substitution cipher method to decode it (for example, the highest frequency of letters are “e”, “t” and “a”), the key of the Vigenere can be found which is NRICH in this case.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Finally, using the program of the wesbite http://www.caconsultant.com/maths/, the whole plaintext can be recreated. In this example the plaintext is extracted from Frankenstein, Letter 1 written by Mary Shelley.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;editorial&quot;&gt;Maria from the UK writes:&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Comparing the frequency of letters in the English language with the frequency of letters in the coded text, there is hardly any resemblance. In fact, most of the letters in the coded text have similar frequencies. This indicates that there is more than just a simple substitution cipher. From solving another Nrich cipher problem, I recognised that this was typical of a Vigenere cipher. However,
there are ways we can check this assumption, as explained below.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Frequency in coded text&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;mdo:image src=&quot;Code4.png&quot;&gt;&lt;/mdo:image&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
Frequency in English language&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
Let us first consider the strings of 5 repeated characters: How likely are we to find a repeated string of 5 letters in a random jumble? Given a string of 5 letters which are not necessarily distinct, there are $26^5$ possible permutations (each letter can be one of 26 letters). So given 2 random strings of 5 letters there is a 1 in 11 881 376 chance that they are the same. Since we have 1776
characters in the code, we have $1776-4=1772$ strings of 5 letters. The chance of 2 being the same is:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;$$_{1772}C_{2}\times \frac{1}{11881376} = 0.132064333 \dots \approx \frac{1}{8}$$&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;(this is the number of pairings multiplied by the probability of 2 being the same). So the probability of this happening 7 times in the same set of 1776 characters is approximately $\frac{1}{8^7}$, or about 1 in 2 million. In other words, it would appear that the code we have been given is almost certainly not random, and these 5 letter strings are significant.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;To investigate them further, we count the number of character between each of the 7 5-letter repeats, finding:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;table style=&quot;width: 500px;border-spacing:1px;&quot; border=&quot;1&quot;&gt;
&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;5 letters&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Characters between 1st letters of each repeat&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;hpkju&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;115&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;cqiog&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;795&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;hgzwp&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;35&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;jyqeo&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;670&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;nkqqu&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;550&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;uonct&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;430&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;kzvkm&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;490&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
 &lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
 &lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
We notice that all these numbers are multiples of 5: indeed, 5 is the only common factor of all 7 numbers. Hence we can deduce that if this is a Vigenere cipher, we are looking for a 5 letter codeword. The fact that all the numbers are multiples of 5 also backs up our assumption that we have a Vigenere cipher.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Analysing the frequency of every 5 letters, starting with the first letter, we see a pattern, which matches up well to the frequency of letters in the English language if we set with N in the code to A, O to B, P to C, etc. So the first letter of our codeword is N.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;mdo:image src=&quot;Code5.png&quot;&gt;&lt;/mdo:image&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Continuing in this way with the other 4 sets of letters, we discover, (perhaps unsurprisingly!) that the codeword for this Vigenere cipher is NRICH. We end up with the text:&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
IAMALREADYFARNORTHOFLONDONANDASIWALKINTHESTREETSOFPETERSBURGH…&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
We can easily add spaces to this, obtaining:&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
I am already far North of London, and as I walk in the streets of Petersburg…&lt;br&gt;&lt;/br&gt;
A quick Google of this passage, and we discover that the text encrypted is a paragraph of Letter 1 from Frankenstein by Mary Shelley. =)&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;/mdoxml&gt;</solutionXML>
  <noteXML>&lt;?xml version=&quot;1.0&quot; encoding=&quot;UTF-8&quot;?&gt;
&lt;mdoxml version=&quot;1.0&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;This is an extended challenge suitable for keen groups or individuals, maths clubs and optional homework challenges.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;With a very enthusiastic class you might wish to collectively discuss possible approaches to this difficult problem and suggest an experimental (i.e with a computer or spreadsheet) approach to the students if they wish to try it in their own time.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/mdoxml&gt;</noteXML>
  <clueXML/>
  <canonXML>&lt;?xml version=&quot;1.0&quot; encoding=&quot;UTF-8&quot;?&gt;
&lt;mdoxml version=&quot;1.0&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;In fact, such a set of sequences occurring by chance is &lt;em&gt;exceedingly&lt;/em&gt; unlikely (as determined experimentally) and thus points to structure in the code.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The text is the opening paragraph of Frankenstein, in which cqiog, hgzwp, jyqeo correspond to the strings &amp;quot;light&amp;quot;, &amp;quot;ation&amp;quot;, &amp;quot;which&amp;quot; etc.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;toggle&quot;&gt;I am already far north of London, and as I walk in the streets of Petersburgh, I feel a cold northern breeze play upon my cheeks, which braces my nerves and fills me with delight. Do you understand this feeling? This breeze, which has travelled from the regions towards which I am advancing, gives me a foretaste of those icy climes. Inspirited by this wind of promise, my
daydreams become more fervent and vivid. I try in vain to be persuaded that the pole is the seat of frost and desolation; it ever presents itself to my imagination as the region of beauty and delight. There, Margaret, the sun is forever visible, its broad disk just skirting the horizon and diffusing a perpetual splendour. There?for with your leave, my sister, I will put some trust in
preceding navigators?there snow and frost are banished; and, sailing over a calm sea, we may be wafted to a land surpassing in wonders and in beauty every region hitherto discovered on the habitable globe. Its productions and features may be without example, as the phenomena of the heavenly bodies undoubtedly are in those undiscovered solitudes. What may not be expected in a country of
eternal light? I may there discover the wondrous power which attracts the needle and may regulate a thousand celestial observations that require only this voyage to render their seeming eccentricities consistent forever. I shall satiate my ardent curiosity with the sight of a part of the world never before visited, and may tread a land never before imprinted by the foot of man. These are my
enticements, and they are sufficient to conquer all fear of danger or death and to induce me to commence this laborious voyage with the joy a child feels when he embarks in a little boat, with his holiday mates, on an expedition of discovery up his native river. But supposing all these conjectures to be false, you cannot contest the inestimable benefit which I shall confer on all mankind, to the
last generation, by discovering a passage near the pole to those countries, to reach which at present so many months are requisite; or by ascertaining the secret of the magnet, which, if at all possible, can only be effected by an undertaking such as mine.&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;/mdoxml&gt;</canonXML>
  <end_user_role>2</end_user_role>
  <difficulty>5</difficulty>
  <keystage1>0</keystage1>
  <keystage2>0</keystage2>
  <keystage3>0</keystage3>
  <keystage4>0</keystage4>
  <keystage4plus>1</keystage4plus>
  <title>Probably a code?</title>
  <description>Is the regularity shown in this encoded message noise or structure?</description>
  <spec_group>Admin
    <specifier>Live - Stage 5</specifier>
  </spec_group>
  <spec_group>Advanced Probability and Statistics
    <specifier>Statistics generally</specifier>
  </spec_group>
  <spec_group>Probability
    <specifier>Experimental probability</specifier>
  </spec_group>
  <spec_group>Decision Mathematics and Combinatorics
    <specifier>Algorithms</specifier>
  </spec_group>
  <spec_group>Applications
    <specifier>Codes and cryptography</specifier>
  </spec_group>
</resource>